Rhymes With Cars & Girls


Two Completely Unrelated Thoughts
April 11, 2008, 10:41 am
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Everyone knows that one of the lowest-of-the-lowest tactics that right-wingers resort to is to question the patriotism of their opponents. Why, patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel. It’s practically McCarthyist, a horrid and disgusting spectacle to observe. Just wanted to remind people of that.

Meanwhile, on a completely unrelated note, professional lefty blogger Matthew Yglesias explains that he’s figured out that anyone who isn’t in favor of withdrawing our military presence from Iraq (like he is) doesn’t care about America.



The Engineering Pretense
April 6, 2008, 3:31 pm
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Did invading Iraq ‘make us safer’? Does our continuing to station troops in Iraq ‘make us safer’? You have probably heard this question posed, and answered, by both sides roughly a metric-crapload of times in the past five years. This is an important question, right? Because this sort of consideration is how we all decide whether or not to support this or that foreign-policy endeavor, right?

I say: No.

This came up in a discussion thread I got into under this Matthew Yglesias post. To pull out the highlights here (if only so that my hijacking of his blog doesn’t go to waste), there are two main points I believe I made.

1. Whether something ‘Makes Us Safer’ is an undefinable and unmeasurable piece of fluff. There’s no such thing as measuring how ‘Safe’ we are. There’s no real way to know whether doing this or that ‘Made Us Safer’ (outside of certain engineering/science contexts where such notions can be strictly defined):

How does doing anything “make us safer”? How are people supposed to answer whether having done something “made us safer”? Is there a standardized measure of ‘Gross Safety’ that one can measure at any given time, so as to observe its increase? Is General Petraeus supposed to peek into the alternate-universes in which we didn’t invade Iraq, observe “dude, now I see, we’re Less Safe in those universes”, and report those results back to us? [...]
Warfare … is not a straightforward engineering problem, and no such analysis or measurement of a war’s “safety-increasing quotient” (or whatever imaginary thing you guys fancy could be measured to gauge how “safe” we are) is possible. A lot of Iraq-invasion criticism is tacitly premised on the notion that it is or should be thought of like an engineering problem, which is a big part of what often makes such criticism so silly.

and

2. This is not how anyone forms their views on foreign policy in the first place (although most people seem to feel the need to pretend it’s how they formed their views):

Look, the fact is that neither side in this debate has come to their conclusion after sitting down in a cloistered corner of a public library with a slide-rule and an HP-15c and reams of books about Iraq and ‘the difference between Sunnis and Shias’ and an open laptop navigating to Matthew Yglesias’s archives and Spencer Ackerman articles and - with those resources arrayed at their side - thereby doing a long collection of carefully detailed calculations, finally coming to the ‘Eureka!’ moment where they conclude “Aha, yes I see now, it’s [making us safer/not making us safer], and therefore I shall [support continuing the policy of having a garrison in Iraq/argue against it]!”
[...] If anything, the causality goes in the opposite direction: some people oppose having troops in Iraq, therefore they are understandably attracted to and enjoy putting forth (oh so objective-sounding) arguments such as ‘it’s not Making Us Safer’; others are in favor of continuing the garrison and thus feel the need (because of the objective/engineering pretense everyone subscribes to) to defend it on grounds that it ‘is too Making Us Safer’.
But in neither case is this how anyone forms their views about these things.

The “engineering pretense” plagues much modern political debate. It never ceases to irritate me.



The Gut-Wrenching Internet-Chronicled Financial Suffering of the Lefty Upper Middle Class
February 24, 2008, 1:43 pm
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Matthew Yglesias complained that he was running out of “strategic patience” when it comes to the military contingent that the U.S. currently has stationed in Iraq. This sort of complaint always bothers me to the point of irritability (cf. my sarcastic comment in that thread), but it’s difficult to articulate why. I think Postmodern Conservative comes close to boiling it down to its essence: “Iraq Is Money”.

Matthew Yglesias, and people like him, including possibly you, are complaining almost exclusively about money, when they complain about Iraq.

But so why does this bother me so much?

Reason 1: Quite often, the people doing the complaining - about money - have no tangible reason to complain. I feel fairly secure in asserting that Matthew Yglesias, lefty blogger/commentator with a book coming out soon, is doing just fine, financially. The money that the U.S. government has spent on the occupation of Iraq has not affected him in any tangible way whatsoever. Yet he is “impatient” over it. There is a disconnect here. Indeed, for most of the people out there fond of complaining about the Iraq military contingent, their actual finances in their actual lives are not suffering in any measurable way whatsoever as a result of it. It’s basically an entirely hypothetical concern.

Reason 2: There is a mismatch between what the “anti-war” faction likes to say (and tell each other) they are complaining about (war = bad, the suffering of our soldiers, etc.) and what, it often seems, they are actually complaining about (money). Sure, it need not be an either/or proposition, but the problem is that no matter how bad or well the occupation/counterinsurgency is actually going, they will always fall back to the “but we’re spending lots of money” complaint. This gives the impression that even if the occupation were going near-perfectly, they’d still complain about the money. But in that case what’s the point of discussing how well Iraq is going at all? It’s still going to cost money and ‘money’ remains on the “anti-war” faction’s laundry-list of grievances. In a very real sense, it’s their baseline complaint. But the reason this grates is because they always posture as having nobler concerns - peace, love and understanding, and all that good stuff. But corner one of these people and try to pin down exactly why the Iraq occupation bothers them so much and chances are you’ll end up having to follow their logic down a twisty path that starts with how much money we’re paying, proceeds to how this puts us into debt, meanders vaguely to the idea that interest rates will have to go up, and culminates in an observation such as this will affect their mortgage because it’s an ARM, thus he might end up having higher mortgage payments in 2011 or something. (Yes, I have actually had this conversation with someone.) In other words: take a guy who’s posturing as having selfless peace-loving concerns, squeeze him a little bit, and what oozes out, frustratingly often, is a stinky dollop of self-centered spoiled-brat self-regard. Seriously, we are supposed to urgently abandon the Iraqi government (which requests our military presence) because some upper-middle-class lefty software programmer (or, prominent lefty blogger) is worried about….hypothetically having a higher mortgage payment later?

Yes, Iraq is money. But so many of the people who complain about the money we are spending on Iraq are among the most financially coddled, secure and comfortable people in the history of the world. I believe it is appropriate to discount their concerns accordingly. In any event, the idea that I am supposed to listen to their complaints with a straight face really tests my patience.



Feedback!
February 6, 2008, 2:14 am
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Yay! I’ve gotten some feedback about comments I made in the this thread. The blog seems to be devoted to, well, firing Megan McArdle (I’m more in favor of firing Joe Morgan myself, but I do applaud the passion behind this sort of thing either way, just on general principle ;-) ) so do click on over to Fire Megan McArdle and read what they have to say, and if you’re Megan McArdle’s boss, maybe they will even convince you, with their blog, to do just that.

P.S. I have no particular response to their criticism of my comment because, I am sad to report, it is devoted to arguing against things I did not say and a rebuttal to the things I actually did say does not seem to have been attempted. Pity. I like arguments.

UPDATE 2/6: You can see me tangle with them here. The context is their vicious, substantive charge against Megan McArdle that she is - gasp - and I quote - “not an econo-blogger”. (That is brad’s ongoing “thesis”, you see.) Tough stuff. They really know how to go for the capillary over at Fire Megan McArdle, don’t they?



What makes “insurgency”?
February 6, 2008, 1:55 am
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To expand on a point I was trying to make in this thread at Megan McArdle’s blog, let’s review a couple things I’ve noticed:

1. If someone were to strap a bomb on themselves, walk into a market, and blow himself up, killing dozens, in some Western country - France, say - that would be terrorism.

2. If someone straps a bomb on themselves, walks into a market, and blows himself up, killing dozens, in Iraq, it is insurgency.

What is the difference between 1. and 2.? The difference, of course, is that there are American soldiers in Iraq whereas there aren’t American soldiers in France (just French soldiers). Apparently, that makes a huge difference; it metamorphizes the violence into a completely different type of thing.

I dare say the same dichotomy holds for almost any sort of violence. Behead someone in France? You’re just a psycho killer. Behead someone in Iraq? You’re an “insurgent”. And so on.

Seemingly, the mere presence of American soldiers inside the boundaries of a nation-state automatically converts all violence in that nation-state into “insurgency”. All violence in that nation-state will be assumed to be aimed and one goal and one goal only, getting the American soldiers moved out of the country. And all blame for the violence will be directed at Americans rather than the actual perpetrators.

That is, if American soldiers are in the boundaries of the country somewhere. (If they aren’t, then this kind of violence is just mass murder, serial killing, and so on.)

At any rate, this is what I have determined by paying close attention to Western commentary on the situation in Iraq.